Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.001379 0.001429 0.001481 0.001537 0.001598 0.001661 0.001732
2025-08-03 0.001280 0.001351 0.001427 0.001513 0.001609 0.001714 0.001838
2025-08-10 0.001225 0.001313 0.001408 0.001520 0.001650 0.001797 0.001979
2025-08-17 0.001172 0.001269 0.001378 0.001509 0.001666 0.001849 0.002085
2025-08-24 0.001125 0.001230 0.001348 0.001494 0.001673 0.001888 0.002175
2025-08-31 0.001107 0.001221 0.001353 0.001519 0.001727 0.001985 0.002344
2025-09-07 0.001082 0.001202 0.001343 0.001524 0.001755 0.002051 0.002477
2025-09-14 0.001050 0.001173 0.001319 0.001510 0.001758 0.002082 0.002562
2025-09-21 0.001018 0.001144 0.001294 0.001491 0.001752 0.002100 0.002630
2025-09-28 0.000993 0.001120 0.001274 0.001478 0.001753 0.002127 0.002711
2025-10-05 0.000953 0.001078 0.001229 0.001431 0.001705 0.002081 0.002677
2025-10-12 0.000932 0.001058 0.001211 0.001419 0.001704 0.002101 0.002747
2025-10-19 0.000919 0.001048 0.001207 0.001425 0.001729 0.002162 0.002891
2025-10-26 0.000900 0.001030 0.001192 0.001415 0.001730 0.002189 0.002982
2025-11-02 0.000891 0.001024 0.001192 0.001426 0.001762 0.002263 0.003163
2025-11-09 0.000875 0.001009 0.001179 0.001419 0.001767 0.002296 0.003272
2025-11-16 0.000858 0.000992 0.001163 0.001406 0.001763 0.002314 0.003357
2025-11-23 0.000855 0.000994 0.001172 0.001428 0.001812 0.002420 0.003629
2025-11-30 0.000846 0.000986 0.001168 0.001433 0.001834 0.002484 0.003826
2025-12-07 0.000831 0.000971 0.001153 0.001420 0.001830 0.002501 0.003924
2025-12-14 0.000815 0.000954 0.001136 0.001403 0.001817 0.002503 0.003988
2025-12-21 0.000801 0.000940 0.001122 0.001392 0.001812 0.002519 0.004089
2025-12-28 0.000778 0.000912 0.001089 0.001350 0.001756 0.002440 0.003953